Oscar Season – Prediction Time!

Oscar Night is on, I sat down with Existential Coffee to go through the possible wins, if we had a disagreement the coding will be Flipthetruck and Existential Coffee
The tips have an added certainty percentage so that you know if you can trust those choices or should be careful.

Best Picture
Will win: The Artist – 100%
Should win: Hugo
Should have been there: Rise of the Planet of the Apes

Best Director
Will win: Michel Hanazavicius (The Artist) – 100%
Should have been there: Lynne Ramsay (We need to talk about Kevin), Tomas Alfredson (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)

Best Actress
Will win: Viola Davis (The Help) – 80%
Should have been there: Tilda Swinton (We need to talk about Kevin)
Should not have been there: Rooney Mara (The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo)

Best Actor
Will win: Jean Dujardin (The Artist) – 95%
Should win: Gary Oldman (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)
Should have been there: Ryan Gosling (Drive), Andy Serkis (Rise of the Planet of the Apes)

Best Supporting Actress
Will win: Octavia Spencer (The Help) – 100%
Should have been there: Carey Mulligan (Drive)

Best Supporting Actor
Will win: Christopher Plummer (Beginners) – 100%
Should win: Christopher Plummer (Beginners)
Should have been there: Omar Sy (Intouchables)

Original Screenplay
Will win: Michel Hazanavicius (The Artist) – 50%
Should have been there: Joe Cornish (Attack the Block), Ben Ripley (Source Code)

Adapted Screenplay
Will win: Alexander Payne (The Descendants) – 100%
Should win: Bridget O’Connor and Peter Straughn (Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy)
Should have been there: Should have been there: Pierre Boulle, Rick Jaffa  and Amanda Silver (Rise of the Planet of the Apes), Hossein Amini (Drive)

Cinematography
Will win: Emmanuel Lubezki (Tree of Life) – 50%
Should win: Emmanuel Lubezki (Tree of Life)
Should have been there: Seamus McGarvey (We Need to Talk about Kevin)

Editing
Will win: The Artist – 70%
Should win: Hugo
Should have been there: Senna, Beginners

Art Direction
Will win: Hugo – 100%

Foreign Language Film
Will win: A Separation – 90%
Should have been there: Intouchablese

Animated Feature
Will win: Rango – 100%
Should have been there: Tintin!!!!!
Thankfully not there: Cars 2

Documentary
Will win: Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory, Undefeated – 0%
Should have been there: Senna

Original Score
Will win: The Artist – 35%
Should win: Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
Should have been there: Rango

Visual Effects
Will win: Rise of the Planet of the Apes – 50%, Hugo – 50%
If Hugo wins the Apes will enslave us all because of equal rights issues

Make Up
Will win: The Iron Lady – 100%
Should have been there: Contagion

Sound Editing
Will win: Hugo – 60%
Should win: Drive
Should have been there: Fast Five

Sound Mixing
Will win: Hugo – 70%
Should have been there: Harry Potter

Costume Design
Will win: Jane Eyre – 90%
Should win: As if I care
Should have been there: Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy

Original Song
Will win: Man or a Muppet – 100%
Should win: I care even less than for that category than I do for Costume Design

And the short movies we just stole from somebody else’s prediction.

Documentary Short
Will win: Saving Face

Short Film (live action)
Will win: Tuba Atlantic

Short Film (animated)
Will win: The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore

List of reviews for this Oscar Season:

Ides of March
Tree of Life
Midnight in Paris
We need to talk about Kevin
The Descendants
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
(also reviewed by Guest author Existential Coffee)
The Artist
Drive
Hugo
Senna
Rise of the Planet of the Apes
Attack the Block
Source Code